Using Scenarios to Plan for Hazards

Climate change, and its associated disruptions to historical climate and weather patterns on the global, regional, and local scales, poses a particular challenge to prevailing methods of hazard mitigation planning. Additionally, mitigation planning methods, formalized through a set of federal and state-level policies, legislative requirements, and regulations, are slow to adapt and integrate new and emerging tools and techniques. This session will explore how exploratory scenario planning can be used by planners and local practitioners to navigate the inherent uncertainty underlying hazard mitigation in an era of climate disruption, both within and alongside the existing hazard mitigation planning framework. This session will provide discrete guidance on tactically integrating scenario planning into hazard mitigation plans, through a variety of accessible and straightforward techniques, without the need for complex climate models, big budgets, or advanced planning software.

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